MathPredictions

USA USL Championship

Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.31
Avg goals2.90
Our pickHome
Tampa Bay Rowdies 43% Draw 27% Louisville City FC 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 43% 2.35 1.85
Double chance Home or away 73% 1.37 1.19
Goals 2.75 Under 50% 1.99 1.95
Both teams to score Yes 59% 1.69 1.67
Asian handicap -0.5 Away +6% Value 57% 1.74 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 53% 1.90
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.92 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.85  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 3.30
Goals 2.75 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 Tampa Bay Rowdies
9.7 Expected corners
5.2 Louisville City FC
Corner line 9.50
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

Tampa Bay Rowdies — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Miami FC 3–2 3–3
2026-07-19 A D Loudoun United FC 1–1 5–5
2026-07-12 H W FC Naples 2–0 3–2
2026-07-05 H L Lexington SC 1–4 12–2
2026-06-21 A W Brooklyn FC 2–0 3–5
2026-06-14 H L Hartford Athletic 0–1 15–1
2026-06-11 H D Charleston Battery 2–2 5–3
2026-06-07 A W Sporting JAX 2–0 4–3
2026-05-31 A W Louisville City FC 2–0 5–3
2026-05-24 H W Phoenix Rising FC 3–0 3–3

Louisville City FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Birmingham Legion FC 2–1 10–1
2026-07-19 A L Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1–3 7–2
2026-07-12 H W Lexington SC 4–2 3–5
2026-07-05 H W Hartford Athletic 1–0 7–1
2026-06-21 A D Detroit City FC 0–0 4–6
2026-06-14 H D Brooklyn FC 2–2 14–2
2026-06-11 A W Phoenix Rising FC 2–0 4–7
2026-06-04 A D Birmingham Legion FC 1–1 6–2
2026-05-31 H L Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–2 3–5
2026-05-24 A L Miami FC 3–4 9–0

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City FC?
Our model gives Tampa Bay Rowdies a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Louisville City FC 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Louisville City FC?
The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.