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New Zealand Northern League

Tauranga City AFC vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 0-2
Expected goals0.87 – 1.96
Avg goals2.83
Our pickAway
Tauranga City AFC 15% Draw 23% Eastern Suburbs Auckland 62%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 62% 1.62 1.27
Double chance – Draw or away 85% 1.18 1.01
Goals 3.25 Under +23% Value 64% 1.55 1.95
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.96 –
Asian handicap 1.75 Home +24% Value 68% 1.46 1.85
Corners 9.5 Over 73% 1.38 –
Correct score – 0-2 11% 8.83 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 8.00  ·  Draw 5.00  ·  Away 1.27
Goals 3.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 1.75 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.3 Tauranga City AFC
11.9 Expected corners
7.6 Eastern Suburbs Auckland

Tauranga City AFC corner stats · Eastern Suburbs Auckland corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 73% Under 27%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 11.9 corners in this match, with Tauranga City AFC winning 4.3 of them.
  • Tauranga City AFC win 4.93 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.86 over their last 14.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 79% of Tauranga City AFC matches.
  • Across 23 recent matches, Eastern Suburbs Auckland games produced 10.26 corners on average — 6.87 taken by Eastern Suburbs Auckland themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Eastern Suburbs Auckland matches.
  • Games involving Tauranga City AFC produce 3.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • Eastern Suburbs Auckland matches average 1.96 goals, with both teams scoring in 26% of them.
  • Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 5.3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 9.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (64%).

Tauranga City AFC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A L Auckland City 2–3 2–15
2026-06-27 A L East Coast Bays 1–2 5–3
2026-06-20 H L Bay Olympic 1–2 3–8
2026-06-06 A L Fencibles United 1–7 1–8
2026-05-28 A W Melville United 1–0 10–1
2026-05-23 A L Manukau United 2–3 5–4
2026-05-16 H W Western Springs AFC 4–2 2–8
2026-05-09 A L Birkenhead United 0–2 5–9
2026-05-02 H L Auckland United FC 0–3 4–7
2026-04-25 A L Eastern Suburbs Auckland 0–3 2–8

Eastern Suburbs Auckland — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 H W Manukau United 7–0 17–0
2026-07-11 A W Western Springs AFC 1–0 8–2
2026-06-27 H D Birkenhead United 1–1 7–5
2026-06-20 A L Auckland United FC 0–1 8–8
2026-06-06 H W Melville United 4–0 11–5
2026-06-01 H D Melville United 0–0 3–1
2026-05-30 H D Auckland City 0–0 7–2
2026-05-22 A W Auckland FC Reserves 1–0 12–2
2026-05-09 H W Bay Olympic 2–0 1–3
2026-05-02 A W Fencibles United 1–0 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Tauranga City AFC vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland?
Our model gives Tauranga City AFC a 15% chance, the draw 23% and Eastern Suburbs Auckland 62%. The most likely score is 0-2.
How many corners are expected in Tauranga City AFC vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland?
The corner model projects 11.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 73% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.