MathPredictions
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ASEAN Championship

Thailand vs Malaysia Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.12 – 1.06
Avg goals3.18
Our pickHome
Thailand 61% Draw 22% Malaysia 17%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 61% 1.65 1.50
Double chance – Home or draw 83% 1.21 1.13
Goals 3 Over 51% 1.97 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.71 –
Asian handicap -1 Away 51% 1.98 1.78
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.73 9.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.50  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 4.75
Goals 3 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -1.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 10 recent matches, Thailand games produced 9.30 corners on average — 5.90 taken by Thailand themselves.
  • Thailand games clear the 9.5 corner line 40% of the time.
  • Malaysia matches average 9.13 total corners (6.50 won per game) across their last 8 with corner data.
  • Malaysia games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
  • Thailand matches average 3.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
  • Games involving Malaysia produce 3.13 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 51% probability.

Thailand — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Laos 5–0 9–1
2026-06-09 A D China PR 0–0 1–11
2026-06-05 H D Kuwait 2–2 5–1
2026-03-31 H W Turkmenistan 2–1 8–1
2025-11-18 A W Sri Lanka 3–0 5–3
2025-11-13 H W Singapore 3–2 11–3
2025-10-14 A W Chinese Taipei 6–1 6–2
2025-10-09 H W Chinese Taipei 2–0 4–0
2025-09-07 H L Iraq 0–1 5–8
2025-09-04 H W Fiji 3–0 5–4

Malaysia — last 8 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H W Laos 4–0 8–2
2026-07-25 A W Myanmar 2–1 5–5
2026-03-31 A L Vietnam 1–3 4–3
2025-11-18 A W Nepal 1–0 4–1
2025-10-14 H W Laos 5–1 12–2
2025-10-09 A W Laos 3–0 10–0
2025-09-08 H W Palestine 1–0 1–4
2025-09-04 H W Singapore 2–1 8–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Thailand vs Malaysia?
Our model gives Thailand a 61% chance, the draw 22% and Malaysia 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.