Australia Queensland Premier League Women
The Gap NPL (W) vs Grange Thistle (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-2
Expected goals2.62 – 2.04
Avg goals4.66
Our pickHome
The Gap NPL (W) 51%
Draw 19%
Grange Thistle (W) 30%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.98 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 4 | Over +15% Value | 61% | 1.63 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 51% | 1.98 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over +11% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 2-2 | 7% | 14.79 | 11.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.91 · Draw 4.10 · Away 2.88 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
The Gap NPL (W)
10.0
Expected corners
5.4
Grange Thistle (W)
The Gap NPL (W) corner stats · Grange Thistle (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 56%
Under 44%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10 corners in this match, with The Gap NPL (W) winning 4.6 of them.
- Across 13 recent matches, The Gap NPL (W) games produced 10.46 corners on average — 4.15 taken by The Gap NPL (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 69% of The Gap NPL (W) matches.
- Grange Thistle (W) matches average 10.26 total corners (4.95 won per game) across their last 19 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Grange Thistle (W) matches.
- Games involving The Gap NPL (W) produce 5.15 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 85%.
- Grange Thistle (W) matches average 3.84 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 4.00 (61%).
The Gap NPL (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | W Peninsula Power (W) | 3–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | W Logan Lightning (W) | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Palm Beach SC (W) | 5–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-06-19 | H | W Mitchelton FC (W) | 4–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Caboolture FC (W) | 1–2 | 2–10 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | L Virginia United SC (W) | 0–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 3–2 | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Grange Thistle (W) | 4–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W Peninsula Power (W) | 5–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Logan Lightning (W) | 3–4 | 4–6 |
Grange Thistle (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Caboolture FC (W) | 1–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | W North Lakes United (W) | 3–2 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Virginia United SC (W) | 5–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | W Logan Lightning (W) | 3–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Peninsula Power (W) | 4–2 | 4–10 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Palm Beach SC (W) | 0–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L The Gap NPL (W) | 2–4 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Caboolture FC (W) | 0–7 | 0–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1–3 | 8–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win The Gap NPL (W) vs Grange Thistle (W)?
- Our model gives The Gap NPL (W) a 51% chance, the draw 19% and Grange Thistle (W) 30%. The most likely score is 2-2.
- How many corners are expected in The Gap NPL (W) vs Grange Thistle (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.