Bolivia Primera Division
The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 16′ 1–0
Corners2–0
Yellow cards1–0
Shots on target2–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks33–5
Dangerous attacks9–0
Possession69%–31%
Predicted score
2-09%2-19%1-18%
Expected goals2.48 – 1.00
Avg goals3.48
Our pickHome
The Strongest 69%
Draw 18%
Independiente Petrolero 13%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 69% | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +12% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.72 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -2.25 | Away +27% Value | 69% | 1.44 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 10.5 | Under +12% Value | 57% | 1.74 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +536% Value | 9% | 10.54 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.25 · Draw 5.50 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 10.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.6
The Strongest
9.8
Expected corners
3.3
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest corner stats · Independiente Petrolero corner stats
Corner line 10.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; The Strongest are forecast for 6.6.
- Across 53 recent matches, The Strongest games produced 9.92 corners on average — 5.26 taken by The Strongest themselves.
- The Strongest games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Independiente Petrolero matches average 8.70 total corners (3.30 won per game) across their last 50 with corner data.
- Independiente Petrolero games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- The Strongest matches average 3.15 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
- Games involving Independiente Petrolero produce 3.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 68%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.1 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.6 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.75 goals at 60% probability.
The Strongest — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | A | W Nacional Potosi | 3–2 | 1–3 |
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Club Aurora | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Blooming | 1–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D GV San Jose | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W Oriente Petrolero | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D Bolivar | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-15 | A | W Always Ready | 1–0 | 3–14 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D Real Potosi | 0–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | W ABB | 3–1 | 7–0 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | W Real Oruro | 3–2 | 6–2 |
Independiente Petrolero — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | H | D Club Aurora | 1–1 | 2–12 |
| 2026-08-02 | A | W Real Oruro | 3–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Oriente Petrolero | 1–2 | 9–3 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Real Potosi | 1–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L ABB | 1–3 | 2–2 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L Real Tomayapo | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Racing Club | 0–2 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | L Botafogo | 0–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Blooming | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D Always Ready | 0–0 | 3–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
- Our model gives The Strongest a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Independiente Petrolero 13%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 10.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.