MathPredictions
▾

China Super League

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.78 – 1.38
Avg goals3.16
Our pickHome
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers 46% Draw 25% Yunnan Yukun 29%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +10% Value 46% 2.18 2.30
Double chance – Home or away 75% 1.34 1.28
Goals 2.75 Over 56% 1.78 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 63% 1.58 1.53
Asian handicap -0.25 Home +5% Value 52% 1.91 2.03
Corners 9.5 Over +10% Value 54% 1.84 2.03
Correct score – 1-1 11% 8.70 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.30  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.90
Goals 2.75 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Tianjin Jinmen Tigers
9.9 Expected corners
5.2 Yunnan Yukun

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers corner stats · Yunnan Yukun corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 54% Under 46%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Tianjin Jinmen Tigers are forecast for 4.7.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tigers matches average 9.66 total corners (3.66 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tigers games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
  • Yunnan Yukun win 4.94 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.11 over their last 35.
  • Yunnan Yukun games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tigers matches average 2.47 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving Yunnan Yukun produce 4.06 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 80%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.5 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 56% probability.

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Qingdao Hainiu 2–0 4–5
2026-07-18 A W Shanghai Shenhua 2–0 2–5
2026-07-04 H W Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3–0 1–7
2026-06-27 A L Chongqing Tonglianglong 0–1 13–2
2026-06-19 A D Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1–1 4–10
2026-05-31 H W Dalian Young Boy 1–0 7–9
2026-05-23 A D Shanghai Port 1–1 3–4
2026-05-19 H L Henan 1–2 4–1
2026-05-15 H L Chengdu Rongcheng 1–2 3–5
2026-05-10 A D Zhejiang 1–1 3–6

Yunnan Yukun — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 4–3 3–5
2026-07-21 H D Chengdu Rongcheng 3–3 3–8
2026-07-17 H D Shanghai Port 2–2 6–6
2026-07-10 A L Shandong Taishan 3–4 14–2
2026-07-03 H W Henan 2–1 8–1
2026-06-26 A L Qingdao Hainiu 2–4 4–2
2026-06-21 A W Suzhou Dongwu 4–2 9–4
2026-05-31 A D Wuhan Three Towns 1–1 3–7
2026-05-24 H L Qingdao West Coast 2–3 6–7
2026-05-20 A D Chongqing Tonglianglong 0–0 3–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Yunnan Yukun?
Our model gives Tianjin Jinmen Tigers a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Yunnan Yukun 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Yunnan Yukun?
The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 54% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.