Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-0
Expected goals3.62 – 0.49
Avg goals4.11
Our pickHome
Tigres UANL (W) 91%
Draw 7%
Puebla (W) 2%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 91% | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 98% | 1.02 | 0.99 |
| Goals | 4 | Under | 51% | 1.95 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.75 | Home | 56% | 1.80 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Correct score | – | 3-0 +1861% Value | 13% | 7.70 | 151.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.08 · Draw 12.00 · Away 19.00 |
| Goals 4 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -2.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.3
Tigres UANL (W)
10.4
Expected corners
3.1
Puebla (W)
Tigres UANL (W) corner stats · Puebla (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.4 corners here; Tigres UANL (W) are forecast for 7.3.
- Tigres UANL (W) win 5.15 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.56 over their last 39.
- Tigres UANL (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Across 31 recent matches, Puebla (W) games produced 10.06 corners on average — 3.87 taken by Puebla (W) themselves.
- Puebla (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Tigres UANL (W) matches average 3.51 goals, with both teams scoring in 51% of them.
- Games involving Puebla (W) produce 3.16 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 36%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 51% probability.
Tigres UANL (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A | D Club America (W) | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | L Toluca (W) | 1–2 | 7–7 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | L Toluca (W) | 1–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Monterrey (W) | 3–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2–2 | 6–0 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Tijuana (W) | 2–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-03-26 | H | L Club America (W) | 0–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-03-23 | A | W Atletico San Luis (W) | 2–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | W Queretaro (W) | 6–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-03-13 | H | W Santos Laguna (W) | 4–1 | 9–3 |
Puebla (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Necaxa (W) | 3–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Unam Pumas (W) | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | D Queretaro (W) | 0–0 | 10–6 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | L Cruz Azul (W) | 0–4 | 4–9 |
| 2026-03-23 | H | L Club America (W) | 0–3 | 4–9 |
| 2026-03-16 | H | L Juarez FC (W) | 0–2 | 2–11 |
| 2026-03-12 | A | L Atletico San Luis (W) | 0–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-02-23 | H | L Mazatlan FC (W) | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-02-17 | A | L Leon (W) | 0–6 | 3–10 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | L Tigres UANL (W) | 0–4 | 0–12 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W)?
- Our model gives Tigres UANL (W) a 91% chance, the draw 7% and Puebla (W) 2%. The most likely score is 3-0.
- How many corners are expected in Tigres UANL (W) vs Puebla (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.