MathPredictions
▾

Mexico Liga MX

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 0′ 0–0

Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target0–0
Attacks0–0
Dangerous attacks0–0
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score 1-113%0-110%1-29%
Expected goals1.23 – 1.41
Avg goals2.64
Our pickAway
Tijuana 32% Draw 27% Cruz Azul 41%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 41% 2.46 2.35
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.37 1.34
Goals 2.5 Under 51% 1.97 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 54% 1.85 1.70
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 53% 1.88 1.80
Corners 9 Under +10% Value 57% 1.74 1.95
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.78 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.35
Goals 2.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00
Corners 9 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

8.5 Expected corners

Tijuana corner stats · Cruz Azul corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 43% Under 57%

Match trends

  • Across 37 recent matches, Tijuana games produced 8.24 corners on average — 3.51 taken by Tijuana themselves.
  • Tijuana games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
  • Cruz Azul matches average 8.74 total corners (5.17 won per game) across their last 54 with corner data.
  • Cruz Azul games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
  • Tijuana matches average 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Games involving Cruz Azul produce 2.94 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 51% probability.

Tijuana — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-14 A L Portland Timbers 1–3 1–5
2026-08-10 A L San Diego FC 0–1 2–5
2026-08-07 A L Austin FC 0–2 8–6
2026-08-01 A D Atletico San Luis 0–0 1–5
2026-07-25 H W Leon 1–0 3–10
2026-07-17 H W Tigres UANL 3–1 1–4
2026-04-26 A D Chivas Guadalajara 0–0 2–8
2026-04-23 H W Pachuca 3–1 6–3
2026-04-19 A D Cruz Azul 1–1 1–4
2026-04-11 A W Juarez FC 2–1 9–5

Cruz Azul — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-14 H L Chicago Fire 1–2 5–4
2026-08-10 H W New York City 2–1 4–0
2026-08-07 H W Philadelphia 1–0 1–7
2026-08-02 H L Atlante 2–3 7–5
2026-07-26 A W Toluca 3–1 4–5
2026-07-22 H W Puebla 2–1 7–3
2026-07-18 A W Atletico San Luis 3–2 4–4
2026-07-05 A D Atletico Morelia 3–3 3–5
2026-05-25 A W Unam Pumas 2–1 7–7
2026-05-22 H D Unam Pumas 0–0 7–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Our model gives Tijuana a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Cruz Azul 41%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 43% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.