Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Tijuana (W) vs Monterrey (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.10 – 1.64
Avg goals2.74
Our pickAway
Tijuana (W) 24%
Draw 27%
Monterrey (W) 49%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 49% | 2.05 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 52% | 1.94 | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Away | 56% | 1.78 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.81 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.25 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.2
Tijuana (W)
8.9
Expected corners
4.8
Monterrey (W)
Tijuana (W) corner stats · Monterrey (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Tijuana (W) are forecast for 4.2.
- Across 31 recent matches, Tijuana (W) games produced 9.94 corners on average — 5.19 taken by Tijuana (W) themselves.
- Tijuana (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Monterrey (W) matches average 8.60 total corners (4.72 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Monterrey (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Tijuana (W) matches average 3.16 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving Monterrey (W) produce 3.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 37%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.6 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Tijuana (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Mazatlan FC (W) | 2–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Necaxa (W) | 6–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | L Tigres UANL (W) | 0–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-03-30 | H | D Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Queretaro (W) | 3–0 | 5–7 |
| 2026-03-18 | H | W Unam Pumas (W) | 2–1 | 2–4 |
| 2026-03-13 | A | L Pachuca (W) | 0–2 | 2–12 |
| 2026-02-22 | H | W Leon (W) | 2–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-02-15 | H | D Cruz Azul (W) | 1–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-02-11 | A | D Santos Laguna (W) | 2–2 | 4–4 |
Monterrey (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | A | L Club America (W) | 0–3 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-15 | H | W Club America (W) | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Pachuca (W) | 4–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Pachuca (W) | 0–2 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Cruz Azul (W) | 4–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | A | D Cruz Azul (W) | 1–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Tigres UANL (W) | 0–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Juarez FC (W) | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-02 | H | W Unam Pumas (W) | 3–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Pachuca (W) | 1–0 | 2–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Tijuana (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
- Our model gives Tijuana (W) a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Monterrey (W) 49%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Tijuana (W) vs Monterrey (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.