MathPredictions
▾

Mexico U21 League

Toluca U21 vs Necaxa U21 Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.76 – 1.13
Avg goals2.89
Our pickHome
Toluca U21 51% Draw 26% Necaxa U21 23%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 51% 1.96 1.91
Double chance – Home or draw 77% 1.30 1.20
Goals 4 Under +40% Value 80% 1.25 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 57% 1.75 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 51% 1.96 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 58% 1.73 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.22 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.91  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 4 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.98  ·  Away 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.6 Toluca U21
10.1 Expected corners
4.5 Necaxa U21

Toluca U21 corner stats · Necaxa U21 corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 58% Under 42%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 10.1 corners here; Toluca U21 are forecast for 5.6.
  • Toluca U21 matches average 9.32 total corners (4.68 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
  • Toluca U21 games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Necaxa U21 win 5.04 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.68 over their last 25.
  • Necaxa U21 games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
  • Toluca U21 matches average 2.46 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
  • Games involving Necaxa U21 produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
  • The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 80% probability.

Toluca U21 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-21 H D Unam Pumas U21 1–1 5–5
2026-05-02 A L Juarez FC U21 0–3 3–14
2026-04-18 A D Club America U21 1–1 2–0
2026-04-12 H W Atletico San Luis U21 2–1 6–1
2026-04-04 A L Queretaro U21 1–2 5–4
2026-03-08 H D Juarez FC U21 2–2 6–4
2026-03-03 A L Unam Pumas U21 0–1 7–2
2026-02-28 H L Chivas Guadalajara U21 0–1 7–5
2026-02-21 A D Necaxa U21 2–2 2–5
2026-02-13 H W Tijuana U21 4–2 6–3

Necaxa U21 — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Monterrey U21 0–3 8–3
2026-07-16 H D Atlante U21 1–1 9–4
2026-04-11 A W Queretaro U21 2–1 1–7
2026-04-03 H W Mazatlan FC U21 1–0 7–5
2026-03-27 H W Unam Pumas U21 1–0 5–7
2026-03-20 H D Tijuana U21 2–2 1–3
2026-03-17 A L Puebla U21 2–3 6–6
2026-02-21 H D Toluca U21 2–2 5–2
2026-02-14 A L Juarez FC U21 0–1 2–9
2026-01-31 A D Club America U21 1–1 1–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Toluca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Our model gives Toluca U21 a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Necaxa U21 23%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Toluca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 58% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.