MathPredictions
▾

Mexico Liga MX

Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

A model prediction for this match is not available yet. Predictions publish about 48 hours before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 54 recent matches, Toluca games produced 8.94 corners on average — 5.35 taken by Toluca themselves.
  • Toluca games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
  • Necaxa matches average 10.14 total corners (5.00 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
  • Necaxa games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
  • Toluca matches average 2.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
  • Games involving Necaxa produce 3.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.

Toluca — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Cruz Azul 1–3 5–4
2026-07-22 H L Unam Pumas 1–2 9–1
2026-07-19 A W Chivas Guadalajara 2–0 2–9
2026-07-04 A L Cancun FC 0–1 5–2
2026-05-31 H D Tigres UANL 0–0 3–4
2026-05-11 A L Pachuca 0–2 5–1
2026-05-07 H W LAFC 4–0 3–2
2026-05-04 H L Pachuca 0–1 10–4
2026-04-30 A L LAFC 1–2 4–1
2026-04-26 H W Leon 4–1 2–7

Necaxa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W Monterrey 2–1 4–1
2026-07-17 H W Atlante 2–1 11–5
2026-04-27 A L Cruz Azul 1–4 5–4
2026-04-23 H D Chivas Guadalajara 0–0 1–4
2026-04-19 H D Tigres UANL 1–1 0–13
2026-04-12 A L Queretaro 1–3 5–4
2026-04-04 H W Mazatlan FC 2–1 7–4
2026-03-21 H W Tijuana 3–0 6–1
2026-03-14 A D Puebla 0–0 5–6
2026-03-07 H L Unam Pumas 0–1 4–7

Match questions

How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.