UK Friendlies
Torquay vs Exeter Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.71 – 1.45
Avg goals3.16
Our pickHome
Torquay 43%
Draw 26%
Exeter 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.34 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.34 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 50% | 2.00 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +22% Value | 64% | 1.57 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over +6% Value | 53% | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.62 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.70 · Draw 4.20 · Away 3.60 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.4
Torquay
8.8
Expected corners
4.3
Exeter
Torquay corner stats · Exeter corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Torquay winning 4.4 of them.
- Across 53 recent matches, Torquay games produced 9.83 corners on average — 5.25 taken by Torquay themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 55% of Torquay matches.
- Exeter matches average 10.14 total corners (4.79 won per game) across their last 56 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 55% of Exeter matches.
- Games involving Torquay produce 3.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- Exeter matches average 2.64 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 3.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 10.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (50%).
Torquay — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Plymouth | 0–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Weston Super Mare | 2–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L Plymouth Parkway | 0–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Hornchurch FC | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Dorking | 4–2 | 7–8 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Tonbridge Angels | 2–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Hemel Hempstead | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | W Slough | 5–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Bath City | 4–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | W Weston Super Mare | 3–0 | 0–11 |
Exeter — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Weston Super Mare | 2–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Truro City | 0–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Bradford | 1–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Burton Albion | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Stockport | 3–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Plymouth | 2–2 | 2–12 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Doncaster | 3–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Blackpool | 0–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Leyton Orient | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Wigan | 0–2 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Torquay vs Exeter?
- Our model gives Torquay a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Exeter 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Torquay vs Exeter?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.