MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

Torres vs Alghero Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 4-1
Expected goals4.22 – 1.07
Avg goals5.29
Our pickHome
Torres 88% Draw 8% Alghero 4%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 88% 1.13 1.02
Double chance Home or draw 96% 1.05 0.97
Goals 5 Over 52% 1.91 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 65% 1.54
Asian handicap -4 Away +32% Value 69% 1.45 2.00
Correct score 4-1 +7% Value 7% 13.97 19.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.02  ·  Draw 21.00  ·  Away 51.00
Goals 5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -4 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

Torres — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-17 H W AC Bra 2–1 7–5
2026-05-10 A W AC Bra 1–0 5–5
2026-04-26 A L Arezzo 1–3 1–4
2026-04-19 H D Gubbio 0–0 3–2
2026-04-11 A D ASD Pineto Calcio 0–0 6–0
2026-03-28 H W Livorno 3–1 1–0
2026-03-21 A D Perugia 1–1 3–2
2026-03-14 H D Ravenna 2–2 12–3
2026-03-08 A D AC Carpi 1–1 3–3
2026-03-05 H W FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–1 4–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Torres vs Alghero?
Our model gives Torres a 88% chance, the draw 8% and Alghero 4%. The most likely score is 4-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.