Europe Friendlies
Torres vs Alghero Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
4-1
Expected goals4.22 – 1.07
Avg goals5.29
Our pickHome
Torres 88%
Draw 8%
Alghero 4%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 88% | 1.13 | 1.02 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 96% | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| Goals | 5 | Over | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Asian handicap | -4 | Away +32% Value | 69% | 1.45 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 4-1 +7% Value | 7% | 13.97 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.02 · Draw 21.00 · Away 51.00 |
| Goals 5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -4 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Torres win 4.15 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.27 over their last 41.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Torres matches.
- Games involving Torres produce 2.22 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
- The model leans Over 5.00 goals at 52% probability.
Torres — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | H | W AC Bra | 2–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W AC Bra | 1–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Arezzo | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | D Gubbio | 0–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D ASD Pineto Calcio | 0–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Livorno | 3–1 | 1–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | D Perugia | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | D Ravenna | 2–2 | 12–3 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | D AC Carpi | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-03-05 | H | W FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 2–1 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Torres vs Alghero?
- Our model gives Torres a 88% chance, the draw 8% and Alghero 4%. The most likely score is 4-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.