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Elite Club Friendlies

Toulouse vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.44 – 1.42
Avg goals2.86
Our pickHome
Toulouse 37% Draw 27% Real Sociedad 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 37% 2.72 2.55
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.38 1.22
Goals 2.75 Under 51% 1.95 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.70 1.62
Asian handicap 0 Home 51% 1.98 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.76 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.55  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.35
Goals 2.75 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80
Asian handicap 0 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Toulouse win 4.54 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.33 over their last 39.
  • Toulouse games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
  • Across 51 recent matches, Real Sociedad games produced 9.80 corners on average — 5.41 taken by Real Sociedad themselves.
  • Real Sociedad games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
  • Toulouse matches average 2.82 goals, with both teams scoring in 54% of them.
  • Games involving Real Sociedad produce 3.06 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
  • The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 51% probability.

Toulouse — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-11 H W Lyon 2–1 7–8
2026-05-03 A W Strasbourg 2–1 3–8
2026-04-26 H D Monaco 2–2 4–2
2026-04-22 A L Lens 1–4 0–6
2026-04-18 A L Lens 2–3 1–14
2026-04-12 H L Lille 0–4 4–2
2026-04-04 A L PSG 1–3 2–5
2026-03-22 H W Lorient 1–0 1–4
2026-03-16 A W Metz 4–3 4–4
2026-03-08 H L Marseille 0–1 4–2

Real Sociedad — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Aston Villa 4–2 6–3
2026-07-26 A W Wolverhampton 2–1 3–4
2026-07-19 H D Racing Santander 1–1 6–6
2026-05-24 A D Espanyol 1–1 5–3
2026-05-18 H L Valencia 3–4 3–2
2026-05-15 A D Girona 1–1 3–6
2026-05-10 H D Real Betis 2–2 4–3
2026-05-05 A L Sevilla 0–1 3–3
2026-04-26 A D Rayo Vallecano 3–3 4–6
2026-04-23 H L Getafe 0–1 6–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Toulouse vs Real Sociedad?
Our model gives Toulouse a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Real Sociedad 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.