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Finland Veikkausliiga

TPS vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.68 – 0.85
Avg goals2.53
Our pickHome
TPS 56% Draw 26% IFK Mariehamn 18%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 56% 1.79 1.50
Double chance – Home or draw 82% 1.22 1.10
Goals 2.75 Under +18% Value 60% 1.67 1.78
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.92 2.00
Asian handicap -1 Away +11% Value 58% 1.71 1.95
Corners 10 Over 53% 1.89 1.78
Correct score – 1-1 +7% Value 13% 7.98 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.50  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 5.25
Goals 3 Over 2.03  ·  Under 1.78
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 10 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.7 TPS
10.2 Expected corners
4.6 IFK Mariehamn

TPS corner stats · IFK Mariehamn corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.2 corners in this match, with TPS winning 5.7 of them.
  • Across 42 recent matches, TPS games produced 9.67 corners on average — 4.55 taken by TPS themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of TPS matches.
  • IFK Mariehamn matches average 10.45 total corners (3.85 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 61% of IFK Mariehamn matches.
  • Games involving TPS produce 2.67 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • IFK Mariehamn matches average 2.94 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.6 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (60%).

TPS — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L HJK Helsinki 0–1 3–4
2026-07-20 H L FC Ilves 1–3 7–6
2026-07-11 H W AC Oulu 3–0 2–9
2026-07-04 A L SJK 1–3 7–6
2026-06-28 H W FF Jaro 3–2 4–8
2026-06-23 A D Lahti 0–0 2–5
2026-06-17 H L KuPS Kuopio 1–2 4–4
2026-06-13 A L FC Ilves 0–1 4–3
2026-05-30 H W VPS Vaasa 1–0 2–9
2026-05-27 A L FC Ilves 0–1 1–4

IFK Mariehamn — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D AC Oulu 1–1 7–9
2026-07-21 H L Lahti 0–2 5–7
2026-07-11 A L IF Gnistan 2–4 2–8
2026-07-04 A L VPS Vaasa 0–4 2–4
2026-06-27 H L FC Inter 0–2 2–6
2026-06-24 H L HJK Helsinki 0–4 4–7
2026-06-18 A L AC Oulu 1–2 5–7
2026-06-14 H L IF Gnistan 0–3 10–3
2026-05-30 A L HJK Helsinki 0–1 1–7
2026-05-26 H L Lahti 0–1 7–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win TPS vs IFK Mariehamn?
Our model gives TPS a 56% chance, the draw 26% and IFK Mariehamn 18%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in TPS vs IFK Mariehamn?
The corner model projects 10.2 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.