England EFL Cup
Tranmere vs Rochdale Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 1.83
Avg goals2.91
Our pickAway
Tranmere 21%
Draw 25%
Rochdale 54%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away +21% Value | 54% | 1.86 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away +8% Value | 79% | 1.27 | 1.37 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over +10% Value | 56% | 1.80 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Asian handicap | 0.25 | Away +20% Value | 61% | 1.63 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.45 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.85 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.6
Tranmere
8.9
Expected corners
5.3
Rochdale
Tranmere corner stats · Rochdale corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Tranmere are forecast for 3.6.
- Tranmere matches average 10.04 total corners (4.15 won per game) across their last 53 with corner data.
- Tranmere games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
- Rochdale win 4.49 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.29 over their last 59.
- Rochdale games clear the 9.5 corner line 27% of the time.
- Tranmere matches average 2.91 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Games involving Rochdale produce 2.88 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 56% probability.
Tranmere — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Blackpool | 2–0 | 6–10 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D Grimsby | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Milton Keynes Dons | 0–3 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | W Cheltenham | 3–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Bristol Rovers | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Chesterfield | 1–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | L Colchester | 0–1 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Shrewsbury | 0–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | L Swindon | 0–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-03-18 | H | L Harrogate Town | 0–3 | 5–5 |
Rochdale — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | L Halifax | 2–3 | 2–0 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Farnham Town | 2–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Al-Rayyan SC | 3–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L FC United of Manchester | 0–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Boreham Wood | 2–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Scunthorpe | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D York | 1–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W Braintree Town | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Wealdstone | 2–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | D Hartlepool | 0–0 | 4–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Tranmere vs Rochdale?
- Our model gives Tranmere a 21% chance, the draw 25% and Rochdale 54%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Tranmere vs Rochdale?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.