MathPredictions
▾

Republic of Ireland First Division

Treaty United FC vs Longford Town Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.40 – 1.28
Avg goals2.69
Our pickHome
Treaty United FC 39% Draw 28% Longford Town 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 39% 2.59 2.40
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.40 1.28
Goals 2.5 Over 50% 1.99 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes 56% 1.79 1.80
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 55% 1.82 1.98
Corners 9 Under 52% 1.94 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.41 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.40  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.75
Goals 2.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.8 Treaty United FC
8.9 Expected corners
4.1 Longford Town

Treaty United FC corner stats · Longford Town corner stats

Corner line 9.00
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with Treaty United FC winning 4.8 of them.
  • Treaty United FC win 3.98 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.42 over their last 43.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Treaty United FC matches.
  • Across 40 recent matches, Longford Town games produced 9.13 corners on average — 4.05 taken by Longford Town themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Longford Town matches.
  • Games involving Treaty United FC produce 2.67 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
  • Longford Town matches average 2.90 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (50%).

Treaty United FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Athlone Town 2–1 4–3
2026-07-18 H L UCD 1–2 0–6
2026-07-11 A W Finn Harps 1–0 2–4
2026-07-04 H W Kerry FC 2–1 5–2
2026-06-27 A D Wexford FC 0–0 2–2
2026-06-20 A L Cork City 0–4 6–11
2026-06-13 H D Bray Wanderers 2–2 4–6
2026-05-30 A L Longford Town 1–3 4–5
2026-05-26 H L Cork City 0–1 4–1
2026-05-23 H L Cobh Ramblers 1–2 5–5

Longford Town — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H L Wexford FC 1–2 3–3
2026-07-19 H W Baldoyle United 8–0 9–1
2026-07-11 A W Cork City 4–3 8–10
2026-07-05 H W UCD 2–1 1–3
2026-06-27 A L Kerry FC 1–2 4–4
2026-06-20 A L Bray Wanderers 2–5 3–8
2026-06-14 H W Cobh Ramblers 2–1 2–4
2026-05-30 H W Treaty United FC 3–1 5–4
2026-05-23 A D Finn Harps 2–2 5–3
2026-05-17 H L Cork City 0–2 3–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Treaty United FC vs Longford Town?
Our model gives Treaty United FC a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Longford Town 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Treaty United FC vs Longford Town?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.