Sweden 1.div Södra
Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.59 – 1.33
Avg goals2.91
Our pickHome
Trelleborgs FF 42%
Draw 27%
Lunds BK 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.36 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 57% | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.68 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +22% Value | 64% | 1.56 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.96 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.65 · Draw 3.75 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.2
Trelleborgs FF
9.6
Expected corners
4.4
Lunds BK
Trelleborgs FF corner stats · Lunds BK corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.6 corners here; Trelleborgs FF are forecast for 5.2.
- Trelleborgs FF win 5.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 32.
- Trelleborgs FF games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Across 30 recent matches, Lunds BK games produced 9.67 corners on average — 5.30 taken by Lunds BK themselves.
- Lunds BK games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Trelleborgs FF matches average 3.06 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
- Games involving Lunds BK produce 2.97 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The last 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.7 across their last 7 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 57% probability.
Trelleborgs FF — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Kristianstad FC | 0–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-19 | H | W FC Rosengård 1917 | 3–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Hässleholms IF | 2–0 | 15–2 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Skövde AIK | 4–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Eskilsminne IF | 3–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D Utsiktens BK | 0–0 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D FC Trollhättan | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | D Jonkopings Sodra | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Atvidabergs FF | 2–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W BK Olympic | 2–1 | 6–3 |
Lunds BK — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Skövde AIK | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | D Jonkopings Sodra | 0–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | L Ariana FC Malmo | 1–4 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | D Kristianstad FC | 1–1 | 13–6 |
| 2026-06-04 | A | W BK Olympic | 3–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Eskilsminne IF | 4–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Utsiktens BK | 5–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | L Laholms FK | 3–4 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D FC Trollhättan | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | W Hässleholms IF | 1–0 | 5–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK?
- Our model gives Trelleborgs FF a 42% chance, the draw 27% and Lunds BK 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Trelleborgs FF vs Lunds BK?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.