MathPredictions

Wales Championship South

Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Utd Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.62 – 1.68
Avg goals3.30
Our pickAway
Treowen Stars 36% Draw 25% Pontypridd Utd 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 39% 2.59 1.95
Double chance Home or away 75% 1.33 1.16
Goals 2.5 Over 64% 1.56 1.93
Both teams to score Yes 66% 1.51
Corners 9.5 Under 52% 1.94
Correct score 1-1 11% 9.05 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.88  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 1.95
Goals 3 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.0 Treowen Stars
9.4 Expected corners
5.4 Pontypridd Utd
Corner line 9.50
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

Treowen Stars — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H W Carmarthen 4–1 4–8
2026-04-04 A L Trefelin BGC 0–6 2–14
2026-03-28 H L Ammanford AFC 1–5 4–0
2026-03-24 H L Afan Lido 0–1 8–2
2026-03-21 A W Newport City 3–2 5–5
2026-03-18 H W Baglan Dragons 4–1 6–6
2026-03-14 H D Pontypridd Utd 2–2 5–3
2026-03-11 A L Caerau Ely 0–3 1–4
2026-03-07 H D Cambrian United 2–2 4–2
2026-03-04 A L Llantwit Major 2–3 3–9

Pontypridd Utd — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-18 H D Caerau Ely 0–0 5–6
2026-04-11 A D Cardiff Draconians 2–2 2–4
2026-04-04 A W Carmarthen 1–0 2–6
2026-03-28 H L Trefelin BGC 1–3 4–11
2026-03-21 A L Trethomas Bluebirds 2–4 4–5
2026-03-18 A W Cwmbran Celtic 5–2 2–7
2026-03-14 A D Treowen Stars 2–2 3–5
2026-03-07 H L Llantwit Major 0–4 5–3
2026-02-21 H W Baglan Dragons 2–0 8–5
2026-02-14 A W Ynyshir Albions 3–1 6–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Utd?
Our model gives Treowen Stars a 36% chance, the draw 25% and Pontypridd Utd 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Treowen Stars vs Pontypridd Utd?
The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.