MathPredictions
▾

Europe Friendlies

Troyes vs GOAL FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 4-0
Expected goals4.32 – 0.59
Avg goals4.91
Our pickHome
Troyes 94% Draw 5% GOAL FC 1%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 94% 1.06 1.02
Double chance – Home or draw 99% 1.01 0.97
Goals 4.75 Under 50% 1.99 1.90
Both teams to score – No 56% 1.79 –
Asian handicap -4.25 Away +22% Value 63% 1.60 1.98
Correct score – 4-0 11% 9.29 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.02  ·  Draw 23.00  ·  Away 51.00
Goals 4.75 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -4.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 40 recent matches, Troyes games produced 8.58 corners on average — 4.88 taken by Troyes themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Troyes matches.
  • GOAL FC matches average 9.05 total corners (4.95 won per game) across their last 20 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of GOAL FC matches.
  • Games involving Troyes produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • GOAL FC matches average 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.75 (50%).

Troyes — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-10 A L Grenoble 0–1 10–2
2026-05-03 H W Laval 4–0 4–3
2026-04-26 A W St Etienne 3–0 3–9
2026-04-18 H W Boulogne 1–0 8–1
2026-04-14 A L Rodez 1–2 3–3
2026-04-04 A D Montpellier 2–2 9–5
2026-03-21 H W Dunkerque 5–1 6–3
2026-03-17 A W Annecy 2–1 1–2
2026-03-07 H W Clermont Foot 2–1 6–1
2026-03-03 A W Amiens 2–0 4–8

GOAL FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-10 H D Andrezieux 0–0 8–4
2026-05-02 A L Cannes 1–2 4–4
2026-04-25 H D Hyeres FC 1–1 3–0
2026-04-19 A D US Lusitanos Saint-Maur 1–1 3–7
2026-04-12 H W Rousset-Ste Victoire 2–1 7–4
2026-04-05 A W Saint Priest 2–0 7–3
2026-03-22 H L Creteil 1–2 4–0
2026-03-15 A W Grasse 2–1 5–10
2026-03-08 H D FC 93 Bobigny 0–0 13–6
2026-02-22 A D Sporting Club Toulon 1–1 3–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Troyes vs GOAL FC?
Our model gives Troyes a 94% chance, the draw 5% and GOAL FC 1%. The most likely score is 4-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.