Elite Club Friendlies
TSG Hoffenheim vs Karlsruher SC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.79 – 0.81
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
TSG Hoffenheim 60%
Draw 25%
Karlsruher SC 16%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 60% | 1.68 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 84% | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 | 12% | 8.19 | 21.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.50 · Draw 4.50 · Away 4.33 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 38 recent matches, TSG Hoffenheim games produced 10.37 corners on average — 5.71 taken by TSG Hoffenheim themselves.
- TSG Hoffenheim games clear the 9.5 corner line 63% of the time.
- Karlsruher SC matches average 9.45 total corners (4.55 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Karlsruher SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- TSG Hoffenheim matches average 3.42 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Games involving Karlsruher SC produce 3.35 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
TSG Hoffenheim — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Holstein Kiel | 3–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Borussia M'gladbach | 0–4 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Werder Bremen | 1–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | D VfB Stuttgart | 3–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Hamburg | 2–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Augsburg | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L Mainz | 1–2 | 7–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L RB Leipzig | 0–5 | 3–1 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | D Wolfsburg | 1–1 | 16–4 |
Karlsruher SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Inter Milan | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Bochum | 1–2 | 11–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Paderborn | 2–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Darmstadt | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Hannover 96 | 1–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Elversberg | 0–3 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Arminia Bielefeld | 4–1 | 4–13 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Schalke | 0–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-03-26 | H | L Wehen SV | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W Greuther Furth | 3–1 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win TSG Hoffenheim vs Karlsruher SC?
- Our model gives TSG Hoffenheim a 60% chance, the draw 25% and Karlsruher SC 16%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.