Australia Capital Territory Premier League Women
Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs Belconnen United (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
0-3
Expected goals0.62 – 3.20
Avg goals3.82
Our pickAway
Tuggeranong Utd (W) 4%
Draw 10%
Belconnen United (W) 86%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 86% | 1.16 | 1.01 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 96% | 1.04 | 0.97 |
| Goals | 4.75 | Under +34% Value | 72% | 1.39 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Asian handicap | 4.25 | Home +50% Value | 83% | 1.21 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 0-3 | 12% | 8.35 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 29.00 · Draw 21.00 · Away 1.01 |
| Goals 5.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 4.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
2.5
Tuggeranong Utd (W)
8.9
Expected corners
6.4
Belconnen United (W)
Tuggeranong Utd (W) corner stats · Belconnen United (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with Tuggeranong Utd (W) winning 2.5 of them.
- Tuggeranong Utd (W) matches average 8.45 total corners (4.82 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Tuggeranong Utd (W) matches.
- Belconnen United (W) win 5.46 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.31 over their last 13.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 23% of Belconnen United (W) matches.
- Games involving Tuggeranong Utd (W) produce 2.73 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 36%.
- Belconnen United (W) matches average 3.23 goals, with both teams scoring in 31% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 5.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 4.75 (72%).
Tuggeranong Utd (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Majura FC (W) | 5–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Canberra Olympic (W) | 0–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D Majura FC (W) | 1–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 2026-05-20 | H | L Belconnen United (W) | 0–4 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Canberra Olympic (W) | 1–1 | 0–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Majura FC (W) | 1–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 2–0 | 9–3 |
| 2025-08-31 | H | L Majura FC (W) | 1–7 | 6–6 |
Belconnen United (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | H | D Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Canberra Olympic (W) | 2–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 1–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Canberra Olympic (W) | 3–0 | 10–0 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | W Tuggeranong Utd (W) | 4–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 2–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W Canberra Olympic (W) | 2–0 | 7–0 |
| 2025-09-20 | H | W Canberra Olympic (W) | 4–0 | 5–3 |
| 2025-09-07 | H | W Canberra Croatia FC (W) | 3–1 | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | H | W West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) | 5–0 | 8–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs Belconnen United (W)?
- Our model gives Tuggeranong Utd (W) a 4% chance, the draw 10% and Belconnen United (W) 86%. The most likely score is 0-3.
- How many corners are expected in Tuggeranong Utd (W) vs Belconnen United (W)?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.