MathPredictions
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Europe Friendlies

UD Logrones vs Naxara Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.84 – 0.76
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
UD Logrones 62% Draw 24% Naxara 14%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 62% 1.61 1.44
Double chance – Home or draw 86% 1.16 1.08
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 –
Both teams to score – No 54% 1.84 –
Correct score – 1-0 13% 7.90 17.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.44  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 5.25

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • UD Logrones matches average 9.31 total corners (6.33 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
  • UD Logrones games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • Naxara win 3.71 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.04 over their last 28.
  • Naxara games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
  • UD Logrones matches average 3.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Games involving Naxara produce 2.61 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

UD Logrones — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-31 A L UD San Sebastian Reyes 0–1 5–3
2026-05-25 H W UD San Sebastian Reyes 1–0 3–5
2026-05-17 H W Getafe B 2–1 5–2
2026-05-10 A W Getafe B 2–0 5–3
2026-05-03 A W CD Ebro 3–0 2–5
2026-04-26 H W Mutilvera 3–0 8–1
2026-04-20 A D SD Beasain 1–1 7–0
2026-04-12 H W Sestao River 2–0 8–6
2026-04-04 A L Eibar B 2–3 11–4
2026-03-29 H D CD Alaves B 1–1 3–3

Naxara — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-02 A L Eibar B 2–3 6–8
2026-04-26 H W SD Beasain 1–0 1–2
2026-04-06 A L Real Unión 0–3 7–3
2026-03-29 H D Sestao River 1–1 3–5
2026-03-22 A W Gernika 3–2 2–5
2026-03-16 H L CD Alaves B 0–1 2–4
2026-03-08 A D Ejea 1–1 2–4
2026-03-01 H W Basconia 3–0 1–3
2026-02-22 A W Deportivo Aragon 1–0 3–6
2026-02-08 H D Amorebieta 2–2 5–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win UD Logrones vs Naxara?
Our model gives UD Logrones a 62% chance, the draw 24% and Naxara 14%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.