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Europe Friendlies

UD Santarem vs Academica Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.23 – 2.00
Avg goals3.23
Our pickAway
UD Santarem 22% Draw 24% Academica 54%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 54% 1.85 1.60
Double chance – Draw or away 78% 1.29 1.15
Goals 3 Over 52% 1.92 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.61 –
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 51% 1.94 1.80
Corners 8.5 Over +21% Value 65% 1.54 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.34 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.00  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 1.60
Goals 3 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00
Corners 8.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

9.8 Expected corners

UD Santarem corner stats · Academica corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 65% Under 35%

Match trends

  • UD Santarem matches average 10.48 total corners (4.18 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 64% of UD Santarem matches.
  • Academica win 5.06 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.24 over their last 33.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Academica matches.
  • Games involving UD Santarem produce 1.94 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • Academica matches average 2.52 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
  • Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 12.9 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (52%).

UD Santarem — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 H D Varzim 2–2 12–6
2026-05-10 A L Amarante 0–1 3–6
2026-05-02 A D CF Os Belenenses 1–1 1–12
2026-04-26 H D Academica 1–1 7–6
2026-04-19 A D Guimaraes B 1–1 3–8
2026-04-11 H L Trofense 0–1 3–7
2026-04-03 A L CD Mafra 1–2 1–2
2026-03-22 A L Varzim 0–1 8–4
2026-03-15 H L Amarante 1–2 3–7
2026-03-09 H L CF Os Belenenses 0–2 1–3

Academica — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-16 H W Trofense 3–0 4–2
2026-05-10 A D CD Mafra 3–3 7–5
2026-05-04 H W Varzim 1–0 2–1
2026-04-26 A D UD Santarem 1–1 6–7
2026-04-20 H W CF Os Belenenses 2–1 1–7
2026-04-13 H D Amarante 1–1 4–2
2026-04-04 A L Guimaraes B 0–1 2–8
2026-03-29 A D Amarante 1–1 3–5
2026-03-23 A W Trofense 2–1 4–4
2026-03-16 H W CD Mafra 2–0 3–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win UD Santarem vs Academica?
Our model gives UD Santarem a 22% chance, the draw 24% and Academica 54%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in UD Santarem vs Academica?
The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 65% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.