MathPredictions
▾

Elite Club Friendlies

Udinese vs Mainz Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.35 – 1.43
Avg goals2.78
Our pickAway
Udinese 34% Draw 28% Mainz 38%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 38% 2.63 2.25
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.38 1.21
Goals 2.5 Over 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.74 1.67
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 56% 1.79 1.78
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.59 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.63  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.25
Goals 2.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Udinese win 4.36 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.24 over their last 45.
  • Udinese games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
  • Across 50 recent matches, Mainz games produced 9.00 corners on average — 5.00 taken by Mainz themselves.
  • Mainz games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
  • Udinese matches average 2.42 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
  • Games involving Mainz produce 2.54 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.

Udinese — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H L Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–2 3–4
2026-07-24 A L Swansea 0–2 4–2
2026-05-25 A L Napoli 0–1 3–3
2026-05-18 H L Cremonese 0–1 5–5
2026-05-09 A W Cagliari 2–0 4–8
2026-05-02 H W Torino 2–0 5–2
2026-04-28 A D Lazio 3–3 5–4
2026-04-18 H L Parma 0–1 10–5
2026-04-12 A W AC Milan 3–0 3–4
2026-04-06 H D Como 0–0 6–2

Mainz — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-31 H W Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–0 3–3
2026-05-16 A W Heidenheim 2–0 3–6
2026-05-11 H L Union Berlin 1–3 7–8
2026-05-03 A W St Pauli 2–1 7–7
2026-04-25 H L Bayern Munich 3–4 4–4
2026-04-20 A D Borussia M'gladbach 1–1 6–0
2026-04-17 A L Strasbourg 0–4 4–5
2026-04-13 H L SC Freiburg 0–1 6–4
2026-04-10 H W Strasbourg 2–0 8–4
2026-04-04 A W TSG Hoffenheim 2–1 3–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Udinese vs Mainz?
Our model gives Udinese a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Mainz 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.