Luxembourg Division Nationale
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.04 – 0.78
Avg goals2.82
Our pickHome
UNA Strassen 66%
Draw 22%
Victoria Rosport 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 66% | 1.52 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.06 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 | 12% | 8.08 | 34.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.36 · Draw 4.75 · Away 6.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
UNA Strassen
8.9
Expected corners
3.8
Victoria Rosport
UNA Strassen corner stats · Victoria Rosport corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; UNA Strassen are forecast for 5.1.
- Across 29 recent matches, UNA Strassen games produced 8.14 corners on average — 4.55 taken by UNA Strassen themselves.
- UNA Strassen games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
- Victoria Rosport matches average 9.66 total corners (4.24 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
- Victoria Rosport games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- UNA Strassen matches average 2.69 goals, with both teams scoring in 31% of them.
- Games involving Victoria Rosport produce 2.90 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 54% probability.
UNA Strassen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | H | L Partizan Belgrade | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Partizan Belgrade | 0–4 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W La Fiorita | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | W La Fiorita | 1–0 | 13–0 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Victoria Rosport | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D FC 03 Differdange | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W Jeunesse Esch | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D FC 03 Differdange | 0–0 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Jeunesse Canach | 2–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Racing FC Union | 1–0 | 6–5 |
Victoria Rosport — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D FC Marisca Mersch | 1–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | L UN Kaerjeng | 2–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L UNA Strassen | 0–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L FC 03 Differdange | 1–4 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Swift Hesperange | 0–3 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | D Progres Niederkorn | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W US Mondorf-Les-Bains | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | L Jeunesse Esch | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-04-23 | A | W US Feulen | 2–1 | 0–6 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Racing FC Union | 3–4 | 9–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport?
- Our model gives UNA Strassen a 66% chance, the draw 22% and Victoria Rosport 12%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.