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Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Unam Pumas (W) vs Leon (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals2.17 – 1.42
Avg goals3.59
Our pickHome
Unam Pumas (W) 54% Draw 22% Leon (W) 24%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 54% 1.86 1.45
Double chance – Home or away 78% 1.29 1.14
Goals 3 Over +7% Value 61% 1.63 1.78
Both teams to score – Yes +10% Value 68% 1.47 1.62
Asian handicap -1 Away +14% Value 58% 1.72 2.03
Corners 9.5 Under 52% 1.93 –
Correct score – 1-1 9% 10.71 9.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.45  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 5.25
Goals 3 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Unam Pumas (W)
9.3 Expected corners
4.3 Leon (W)

Unam Pumas (W) corner stats · Leon (W) corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.3 corners here; Unam Pumas (W) are forecast for 5.1.
  • Unam Pumas (W) matches average 9.47 total corners (5.13 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Unam Pumas (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
  • Leon (W) win 5.06 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.65 over their last 31.
  • Leon (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
  • Unam Pumas (W) matches average 3.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 72% of them.
  • Games involving Leon (W) produce 3.97 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 65%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 9.8 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 61% probability.

Unam Pumas (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-26 A D Cruz Azul (W) 1–1 6–4
2026-04-06 H D Puebla (W) 2–2 6–4
2026-04-02 A L Monterrey (W) 0–3 4–7
2026-03-28 H W Leon (W) 2–1 1–6
2026-03-23 H L Pachuca (W) 1–2 6–6
2026-03-18 A L Tijuana (W) 1–2 4–2
2026-03-13 A L Toluca (W) 2–4 5–7
2026-02-21 H L Tigres UANL (W) 0–2 5–3
2026-02-15 A D Juarez FC (W) 1–1 2–5
2026-02-10 H W Chivas Guadalajara (W) 1–0 2–9

Leon (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-04-25 H L Atletico San Luis (W) 1–2 6–5
2026-04-06 A L Pachuca (W) 4–5 5–7
2026-04-01 H D Toluca (W) 3–3 7–9
2026-03-28 A L Unam Pumas (W) 1–2 6–1
2026-03-24 H W Atlas (W) 4–0 7–3
2026-03-17 H L Mazatlan FC (W) 1–3 5–1
2026-03-14 A L Club America (W) 2–4 4–7
2026-02-22 A L Tijuana (W) 1–2 5–7
2026-02-17 H W Puebla (W) 6–0 10–3
2026-02-10 H W Necaxa (W) 3–1 8–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Unam Pumas (W) vs Leon (W)?
Our model gives Unam Pumas (W) a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Leon (W) 24%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Unam Pumas (W) vs Leon (W)?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.