Poland League Women
Unia Lublin (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 21′ 0–1
Corners1–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–1
Shots off target0–2
Attacks31–26
Dangerous attacks12–12
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.25 – 1.97
Avg goals4.22
Our pickHome
Unia Lublin (W) 45%
Draw 21%
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 45% | 2.24 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 79% | 1.27 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 4 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 50% | 2.00 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 | 7% | 13.62 | 13.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 4.20 · Away 2.40 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Unia Lublin (W) matches average 10.80 total corners (7.00 won per game) across their last 5 with corner data.
- Unia Lublin (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 60% of the time.
- UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) win 4.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.57 over their last 7.
- UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Unia Lublin (W) matches average 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
- Games involving UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) produce 4.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 100%.
- The model leans Over 4.00 goals at 51% probability.
Unia Lublin (W) — last 5 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | A | L Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 0–1 | 7–1 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Legia Warsaw (W) | 0–6 | 1–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | A | W Sportis KKP Bydgoszcz (W) | 3–0 | 9–5 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W KKP Warsaw (W) | 3–2 | 10–2 |
| 2025-11-08 | A | L LZS Stare Oborzyska (W) | 2–3 | 8–4 |
UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) — last 7 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | A | D Polonia Sroda Wlkp (W) | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Sportowa Czworka Radom (W) | 3–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | L Legia Warsaw (W) | 1–3 | 1–6 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | L Resovia Rzeszow (W) | 1–4 | 4–6 |
| 2025-11-08 | H | W KKP Warsaw (W) | 3–2 | 6–4 |
| 2025-09-14 | A | L Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2025-08-17 | H | L Resovia Rzeszow Women | 1–4 | 6–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Unia Lublin (W) vs UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W)?
- Our model gives Unia Lublin (W) a 45% chance, the draw 21% and UKS Staszkowka Jelna (W) 34%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.