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Elite Club Friendlies

Union Berlin vs Cagliari Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.31
Avg goals2.88
Our pickHome
Union Berlin 43% Draw 27% Cagliari 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.35 2.10
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.37 1.20
Goals 2.75 Under 51% 1.97 1.88
Both teams to score – Yes 59% 1.70 1.62
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 51% 1.97 1.88
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.89 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.80
Goals 2.75 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Union Berlin matches average 9.61 total corners (4.98 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of Union Berlin matches.
  • Cagliari win 3.78 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.83 over their last 46.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Cagliari matches.
  • Games involving Union Berlin produce 2.95 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
  • Cagliari matches average 2.30 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (51%).

Union Berlin — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A L Aarau 1–2 9–4
2026-07-18 A D Winterthur 1–1 5–3
2026-05-16 H W Augsburg 4–0 5–9
2026-05-11 A W Mainz 3–1 8–7
2026-05-02 H D Cologne 2–2 2–5
2026-04-25 A L RB Leipzig 1–3 4–10
2026-04-18 H L Wolfsburg 1–2 11–4
2026-04-11 A L Heidenheim 1–3 5–3
2026-04-05 H D St Pauli 1–1 7–2
2026-03-21 A L Bayern Munich 0–4 1–12

Cagliari — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H W Modena 1–0 0–8
2026-07-23 H D Sampdoria 0–0 5–1
2026-05-25 A W AC Milan 2–1 5–5
2026-05-18 H W Torino 2–1 5–1
2026-05-09 H L Udinese 0–2 8–4
2026-05-03 A D Bologna 0–0 2–7
2026-04-28 H W Atalanta 3–2 4–6
2026-04-18 A L Inter Milan 0–3 9–4
2026-04-11 H W Cremonese 1–0 6–5
2026-04-04 A L Sassuolo 1–2 2–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Union Berlin vs Cagliari?
Our model gives Union Berlin a 43% chance, the draw 27% and Cagliari 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.