MathPredictions

Colombia Primera B

Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.50 – 0.70
Avg goals2.19
Our pickHome
Union Magdalena 55% Draw 29% Orsomarso 16%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Home 55% 1.81 1.48
Double chance Home or draw 84% 1.19 1.09
Goals 2.25 Under +9% Value 56% 1.77 1.95
Both teams to score No 60% 1.67
Asian handicap -1 Away +5% Value 60% 1.66 1.90
Corners 8 Over 53% 1.87 1.95
Correct score 1-0 +102% Value 16% 6.42 15.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.48  ·  Draw 4.10  ·  Away 6.50
Goals 2.25 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 8 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 Union Magdalena
8.2 Expected corners
3.4 Orsomarso
Corner line 8.00
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

Union Magdalena — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A L Bogota FC 0–1 4–2
2026-05-22 H D Bogota FC 0–0 4–2
2026-05-18 A D Barranquilla FC 1–1 6–2
2026-05-13 H W Real Cartagena 3–0 6–1
2026-05-09 A L Real Cartagena 1–2 4–2
2026-05-05 H W Barranquilla FC 2–0 6–5
2026-04-28 A D Bogota FC 1–1 3–4
2026-04-19 A W Atletico Cali FC 3–1 3–5
2026-04-14 H L Internacional FC de Palmira 0–2 5–3
2026-04-10 H W Envigado FC 4–2 10–6

Orsomarso — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W Barranquilla FC 1–0 3–1
2026-05-21 A D Fortaleza CEIF 1–1 3–13
2026-05-16 H D Independiente Medellin 1–1 10–2
2026-05-13 A L Itagui Leones 0–2 6–7
2026-05-10 H D Cucuta Deportivo 1–1 11–3
2026-04-19 H D Itagui Leones 0–0 7–1
2026-04-14 A L Bogota FC 0–2 5–1
2026-03-31 H L Internacional FC de Palmira 1–2 6–2
2026-03-27 A D Deportes Quindio 2–2 2–10
2026-03-22 H W Independiente Yumbo 2–0 2–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso?
Our model gives Union Magdalena a 55% chance, the draw 29% and Orsomarso 16%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Union Magdalena vs Orsomarso?
The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.