Finland Kakkonen Group A
Union Plaani vs PEPO Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.55 – 1.83
Avg goals3.38
Our pickAway
Union Plaani 32%
Draw 24%
PEPO 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.12 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Asian handicap | 1 | Home +20% Value | 70% | 1.43 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +28% Value | 11% | 9.40 | 12.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.70 · Draw 4.75 · Away 1.60 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 1 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Union Plaani
12.5
Expected corners
7.2
PEPO
Union Plaani corner stats · PEPO corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 79%
Under 21%
Match trends
- Our model projects 12.5 corners in this match, with Union Plaani winning 5.3 of them.
- Across 16 recent matches, Union Plaani games produced 11.94 corners on average — 5.69 taken by Union Plaani themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 56% of Union Plaani matches.
- PEPO matches average 12.00 total corners (6.83 won per game) across their last 23 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 70% of PEPO matches.
- Games involving Union Plaani produce 4.31 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 75%.
- PEPO matches average 3.61 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (56%).
Union Plaani — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W PPJ | 1–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Atlantis | 3–6 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L MyPa | 0–2 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Puiu | 2–1 | 12–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L HPS | 0–2 | 9–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Kiffen | 0–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D PEPO | 1–1 | 3–11 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D PPJ | 2–2 | 6–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Atlantis | 1–5 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | L Lahti | 2–4 | 4–10 |
PEPO — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Puiu | 3–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Kiffen | 0–2 | 11–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W HPS | 2–0 | 11–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Atlantis | 1–5 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D PPJ | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L HIFK | 1–2 | 9–7 |
| 2026-06-05 | H | W Reipas | 2–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | D MyPa | 0–0 | 10–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Union Plaani | 1–1 | 11–3 |
| 2026-05-12 | A | L SJK | 0–3 | 3–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Union Plaani vs PEPO?
- Our model gives Union Plaani a 32% chance, the draw 24% and PEPO 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Union Plaani vs PEPO?
- The corner model projects 12.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 79% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.