Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.75 – 0.80
Avg goals2.55
Our pickHome
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 59%
Draw 25%
Tecnico Universitario 16%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 59% | 1.69 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 53% | 1.88 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 54% | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +7% Value | 54% | 1.84 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9 | Over | 54% | 1.86 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +114% Value | 13% | 7.94 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.48 · Draw 4.00 · Away 7.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.9
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
9.3
Expected corners
3.3
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador corner stats · Tecnico Universitario corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 54%
Under 46%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with Universidad Catolica del Ecuador winning 5.9 of them.
- Universidad Catolica del Ecuador matches average 9.25 total corners (5.18 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Universidad Catolica del Ecuador matches.
- Tecnico Universitario win 4.54 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.31 over their last 39.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Tecnico Universitario matches.
- Games involving Universidad Catolica del Ecuador produce 2.75 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- Tecnico Universitario matches average 2.03 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.2 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (53%).
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | D Guayaquil City | 0–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Barcelona Guayaquil | 2–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Deportivo Cuenca | 2–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W LDU Quito | 1–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Leones FC | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | L Mushuc Runa | 2–3 | 7–1 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Emelec | 0–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | W El Nacional | 4–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Orense | 2–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Delfin SC | 2–2 | 7–1 |
Tecnico Universitario — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Manta FC | 1–0 | 8–1 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Independiente del Valle | 0–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | L SD Aucas | 0–1 | 10–6 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | L Libertad FC | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Macara | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-07 | A | W Orense | 2–1 | 2–11 |
| 2026-06-02 | H | W Barcelona Guayaquil | 1–0 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Juventud Italiana | 0–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Leones FC | 2–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L LDU Quito | 1–2 | 1–13 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Tecnico Universitario?
- Our model gives Universidad Catolica del Ecuador a 59% chance, the draw 25% and Tecnico Universitario 16%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Tecnico Universitario?
- The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 54% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.