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Ecuador Primera Women

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Carneras UPS (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.96 – 0.59
Avg goals3.55
Our pickHome
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 84% Draw 12% Carneras UPS (W) 4%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 84% 1.19 1.06
Double chance – Home or draw 96% 1.04 0.98
Goals 4 Under +15% Value 65% 1.54 1.83
Both teams to score – No 57% 1.75 –
Asian handicap -3 Away +24% Value 68% 1.46 1.90
Correct score – 2-0 13% 7.97 126.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.06  ·  Draw 13.00  ·  Away 26.00
Goals 4 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap -3 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 8.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) matches average 8.53 total corners (6.60 won per game) across their last 15 with corner data.
  • Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 33% of the time.
  • Carneras UPS (W) win 4.14 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.86 over their last 7.
  • Carneras UPS (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
  • Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) matches average 3.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.
  • Games involving Carneras UPS (W) produce 2.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 14%.
  • The model leans Under 4.00 goals at 65% probability.

Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Emelec (W) 7–0 13–2
2026-07-13 H W CD Espuce (W) 4–1 6–2
2026-07-10 H L Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 1–2 6–4
2026-07-03 H L Dragonas IDV (W) 1–2 7–0
2026-06-25 H W EL Nacional (W) 8–0 5–3
2026-06-21 H D LDU Quito (W) 1–1 6–3
2026-06-14 A W Carneras UPS (W) 4–0 4–1
2026-05-01 A W CD Espuce (W) 1–0 12–0
2026-04-26 A L Barcelona Guayaquil (W) 1–3 8–2
2026-03-28 A W EL Nacional (W) 2–1 8–1

Carneras UPS (W) — last 7 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-28 H W CD Espuce (W) 1–0 3–4
2026-06-24 A L LDU Quito (W) 0–1 4–3
2026-06-20 H W Macara (W) 1–0 9–3
2026-06-14 H L Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) 0–4 1–4
2026-04-25 H W Quito FC (W) 2–1 5–4
2026-04-02 A W CD Espuce (W) 1–0 4–0
2026-03-29 H L LDU Quito (W) 0–5 3–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) vs Carneras UPS (W)?
Our model gives Universidad Catolica del Ecuador (W) a 84% chance, the draw 12% and Carneras UPS (W) 4%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.