Chile Liga de Primera
Universidad de Concepcion vs Audax Italiano Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.32 – 1.38
Avg goals2.70
Our pickAway
Universidad de Concepcion 34%
Draw 28%
Audax Italiano 37%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 37% | 2.68 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.73 |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 52% | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.42 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.50 · Draw 3.50 · Away 2.60 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.4
Universidad de Concepcion
9.4
Expected corners
4.0
Audax Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion corner stats · Audax Italiano corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.4 corners here; Universidad de Concepcion are forecast for 5.4.
- Universidad de Concepcion matches average 9.63 total corners (4.90 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
- Universidad de Concepcion games clear the 9.5 corner line 51% of the time.
- Audax Italiano win 4.45 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.59 over their last 49.
- Audax Italiano games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Universidad de Concepcion matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
- Games involving Audax Italiano produce 2.96 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.9 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
Universidad de Concepcion — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | H | W Rangers de Talca | 2–0 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-02 | H | L Nublense | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | D Curico Unido | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | L Nublense | 2–4 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L CSD Rangers | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | L Universidad Catolica | 1–5 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Nublense | 0–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Union La Calera | 0–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Nublense | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W O'Higgins | 1–0 | 0–16 |
Audax Italiano — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | L Universidad de Chile | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | W Magallanes | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | L Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1–2 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | W Palestino | 3–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Magallanes | 2–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-24 | A | W Palestino | 2–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | L Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | D La Serena | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | D Palestino | 0–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Olimpia Asuncion | 1–3 | 1–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Universidad de Concepcion vs Audax Italiano?
- Our model gives Universidad de Concepcion a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Audax Italiano 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Universidad de Concepcion vs Audax Italiano?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.