Australia Darwin Premier League
University Azzurri FC vs Hellenic AC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 3–0 (HT 1–0)
Corners6–3
Yellow cards1–1
Shots on target9–2
Shots off target19–2
Attacks150–82
Dangerous attacks101–28
Possession70%–30%
Predicted score
3-0
Expected goals3.65 – 0.96
Avg goals4.62
Our pickHome
University Azzurri FC 85%
Draw 10%
Hellenic AC 5%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 85% | 1.18 | 1.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 95% | 1.06 | 0.97 |
| Goals | 5 | Under +9% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Asian handicap | -3.5 | Away +32% Value | 67% | 1.50 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Correct score | – | 3-0 | 8% | 12.44 | 9.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.05 · Draw 13.00 · Away 23.00 |
| Goals 5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap -3.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.5
University Azzurri FC
8.8
Expected corners
3.3
Hellenic AC
University Azzurri FC corner stats · Hellenic AC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with University Azzurri FC winning 5.5 of them.
- Across 26 recent matches, University Azzurri FC games produced 9.81 corners on average — 5.96 taken by University Azzurri FC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of University Azzurri FC matches.
- Hellenic AC matches average 8.52 total corners (4.00 won per game) across their last 23 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Hellenic AC matches.
- Games involving University Azzurri FC produce 4.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- Hellenic AC matches average 3.91 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 5.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 5.00 (62%).
University Azzurri FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Hellenic AC | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Casuarina FC | 5–1 | 10–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Macarthur FC | 0–3 | 0–21 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | W Casuarina FC | 2–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | W Garuda FC | 10–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-19 | H | W Mindil Aces | 3–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Hellenic AC | 5–1 | 6–0 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Palmerston Rovers FC | 6–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Darwin Olympic | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Darwin Hearts | 4–1 | 1–6 |
Hellenic AC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L University Azzurri FC | 0–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Mindil Aces | 1–4 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | W Palmerston Rovers FC | 2–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Darwin Hearts | 1–2 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-03 | H | L Mindil Aces | 1–3 | 7–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Garuda FC | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L University Azzurri FC | 1–5 | 0–6 |
| 2026-06-02 | H | W Darwin Olympic | 3–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-29 | A | L Casuarina FC | 1–5 | 8–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Port Darwin FC | 2–6 | 6–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win University Azzurri FC vs Hellenic AC?
- Our model gives University Azzurri FC a 85% chance, the draw 10% and Hellenic AC 5%. The most likely score is 3-0.
- How many corners are expected in University Azzurri FC vs Hellenic AC?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.