Australia New South Wales NPL Women
University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.57 – 0.93
Avg goals2.50
Our pickHome
University NSW (W) 51%
Draw 28%
Manly Utd (W) 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.96 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under +15% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +12% Value | 64% | 1.56 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +12% Value | 13% | 7.58 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.8
University NSW (W)
10.1
Expected corners
3.4
Manly Utd (W)
University NSW (W) corner stats · Manly Utd (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 58%
Under 42%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.1 corners here; University NSW (W) are forecast for 6.8.
- University NSW (W) matches average 8.10 total corners (5.24 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
- University NSW (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 28% of the time.
- Manly Utd (W) win 4.44 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.44 over their last 27.
- Manly Utd (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- University NSW (W) matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
- Games involving Manly Utd (W) produce 2.70 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.5 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.75 goals at 61% probability.
University NSW (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | D Apia L Tigers (W) | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Gladesville Ravens (W) | 2–2 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Manly Utd (W) | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | D Northern Tigers FC (W) | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Bulls FC Academy (W) | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 3–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 1–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Western City Rangers (W) | 2–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Hills United FC (W) | 2–0 | 3–0 |
Manly Utd (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Hills United FC (W) | 2–1 | 4–10 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L University NSW (W) | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | W Gladesville Ravens (W) | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Western City Rangers (W) | 1–1 | 2–8 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | L Apia L Tigers (W) | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D Northern Tigers FC (W) | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 2–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D Macarthur Rams (W) | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | D Sydney University (W) | 1–1 | 5–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?
- Our model gives University NSW (W) a 51% chance, the draw 28% and Manly Utd (W) 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in University NSW (W) vs Manly Utd (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 58% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.