Australia Western Australia State League 1
UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 3–0 (HT 1–0)
Corners5–8
Yellow cards2–2
Shots on target5–2
Shots off target6–5
Attacks104–101
Dangerous attacks71–68
Possession0%–0%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.04 – 1.59
Avg goals3.63
Our pickHome
UWA-Nedlands FC 48%
Draw 23%
Mandurah City 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 48% | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 55% | 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.75 | Away +5% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 9% | 10.57 | 9.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.73 · Draw 4.00 · Away 3.50 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.7
UWA-Nedlands FC
9.3
Expected corners
3.6
Mandurah City
UWA-Nedlands FC corner stats · Mandurah City corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with UWA-Nedlands FC winning 5.7 of them.
- UWA-Nedlands FC win 6.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.61 over their last 18.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of UWA-Nedlands FC matches.
- Across 11 recent matches, Mandurah City games produced 9.09 corners on average — 4.36 taken by Mandurah City themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Mandurah City matches.
- Games involving UWA-Nedlands FC produce 3.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 72%.
- Mandurah City matches average 4.09 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 4.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 12.1 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.25 (55%).
UWA-Nedlands FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Mandurah City | 3–0 | 5–8 |
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Curtin University SC | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | D Joondalup City | 1–1 | 14–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Subiaco AFC | 3–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Murdoch University Melville FC | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | W Curtin University SC | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | W Inglewood United | 4–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Quinns FC | 3–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Kingsley Westside | 3–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Dianella White Eagles | 1–4 | 2–2 |
Mandurah City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L UWA-Nedlands FC | 0–3 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Subiaco AFC | 5–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Murdoch University Melville FC | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Quinns FC | 4–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L Inglewood United | 1–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Cockburn City | 3–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-03-20 | H | W Subiaco AFC | 5–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-02-20 | H | L Floreat Athena | 0–3 | 3–6 |
| 2026-02-03 | A | W Curtin University SC | 2–0 | 5–6 |
| 2025-08-23 | A | W Curtin University SC | 3–1 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?
- Our model gives UWA-Nedlands FC a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Mandurah City 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in UWA-Nedlands FC vs Mandurah City?
- The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.