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Japan J-League

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-113%1-010%0-19%
Expected goals1.28 – 1.26
Avg goals2.54
Our pickHome
V-Varen Nagasaki 37% Draw 28% Kyoto Sanga FC 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home +13% Value 37% 2.74 2.88
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.38 1.32
Goals 2.25 Over 54% 1.86 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 52% 1.91 1.80
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 58% 1.71 2.05
Corners 10 Over +13% Value 59% 1.68 1.93
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.56 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.88  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.45
Goals 2.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0 Home 2.05  ·  Away 1.75
Corners 10 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.7 V-Varen Nagasaki
10.7 Expected corners
5.0 Kyoto Sanga FC

V-Varen Nagasaki corner stats · Kyoto Sanga FC corner stats

Corner line 10.00
Over 59% Under 41%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.7 corners in this match, with V-Varen Nagasaki winning 5.7 of them.
  • V-Varen Nagasaki win 3.97 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.80 over their last 35.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of V-Varen Nagasaki matches.
  • Across 35 recent matches, Kyoto Sanga FC games produced 10.74 corners on average — 4.89 taken by Kyoto Sanga FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of Kyoto Sanga FC matches.
  • Games involving V-Varen Nagasaki produce 2.49 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • Kyoto Sanga FC matches average 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.6 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.1 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (54%).

V-Varen Nagasaki — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-15 A L NEC 1–3 2–9
2026-06-06 A W Mito Hollyhock 1–0 0–7
2026-05-30 H W Mito Hollyhock 1–0 0–7
2026-05-23 A L Kyoto Sanga FC 0–1 4–7
2026-05-17 H D Vissel Kobe 2–2 5–3
2026-05-09 A L Cerezo Osaka 2–3 3–8
2026-05-06 H W Fagiano Okayama 2–1 5–3
2026-05-03 H L Nagoya Grampus 1–2 9–9
2026-04-29 A W Shimizu S-Pulse 2–1 4–3
2026-04-25 H D Gamba Osaka 1–1 7–8

Kyoto Sanga FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-06-06 A W Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 7–3
2026-05-30 H L Kashiwa Reysol 2–6 2–4
2026-05-23 H W V-Varen Nagasaki 1–0 7–4
2026-05-17 H L Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–4 1–10
2026-05-13 A L Vissel Kobe 0–1 1–10
2026-05-10 A L Nagoya Grampus 0–3 5–8
2026-05-06 A D Avispa Fukuoka 1–1 7–8
2026-05-02 H L Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 8–10
2026-04-29 H D Gamba Osaka 1–1 7–3
2026-04-18 A L Cerezo Osaka 0–3 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
Our model gives V-Varen Nagasaki a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Kyoto Sanga FC 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga FC?
The corner model projects 10.7 total corners. Over 10.00 corners is rated at 59% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.