Norway Division 3 Group 4
Våg vs Madla Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.48 – 1.71
Avg goals3.19
Our pickAway
Våg 33%
Draw 25%
Madla 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.73 | 10.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.20 · Draw 4.33 · Away 1.75 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.7
Våg
11.6
Expected corners
5.9
Madla
Våg corner stats · Madla corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 73%
Under 27%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.6 corners here; Våg are forecast for 5.7.
- Våg matches average 11.18 total corners (6.45 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
- Våg games clear the 9.5 corner line 73% of the time.
- Madla win 6.22 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.61 over their last 18.
- Madla games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Våg matches average 3.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- Games involving Madla produce 3.94 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 62% probability.
Våg — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | D Odd 2 | 1–1 | 3–11 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | W Viking 2 | 3–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-16 | H | W Stabaek 2 | 3–2 | 9–2 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | W Trauma | 5–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Staal Jørpeland | 0–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Varhaug | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Flekkerøy | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Brodd | 1–4 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Haugesund 2 | 2–4 | 9–8 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | W Vindbjart | 1–0 | 6–4 |
Madla — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Flekkerøy | 5–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Mandalskameratene | 2–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | L Haugesund 2 | 2–3 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Vindbjart | 2–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | W Hinna | 3–0 | 11–7 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | W Viking 2 | 2–0 | 9–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Stabaek 2 | 1–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Brodd | 4–3 | 5–4 |
| 2025-10-26 | A | W Vidar | 4–3 | 5–6 |
| 2025-10-11 | A | W Viking FK | 3–1 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Våg vs Madla?
- Our model gives Våg a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Madla 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Våg vs Madla?
- The corner model projects 11.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 73% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.