Europe Friendlies
Valenciennes vs Boulogne Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.35 – 1.58
Avg goals2.93
Our pickAway
Valenciennes 31%
Draw 27%
Boulogne 42%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 42% | 2.39 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 51% | 1.97 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +15% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over +23% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.99 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.40 · Draw 3.20 · Away 1.95 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
9.4
Expected corners
Valenciennes corner stats · Boulogne corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 62%
Under 38%
Match trends
- Valenciennes win 5.32 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.62 over their last 34.
- Valenciennes games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
- Across 38 recent matches, Boulogne games produced 8.58 corners on average — 3.84 taken by Boulogne themselves.
- Boulogne games clear the 9.5 corner line 34% of the time.
- Valenciennes matches average 2.41 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Games involving Boulogne produce 2.37 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.7 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.75 goals at 51% probability.
Valenciennes — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | A | W Eastleigh | 3–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Dunkerque | 2–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Chateauroux | 2–2 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Bourg-Peronnas | 0–1 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Sochaux | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Dijon | 0–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L FC Fleury 91 | 0–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Versailles | 1–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | L US Quevilly | 2–3 | 9–7 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Aubagne Air Bel | 0–0 | 8–1 |
Boulogne — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Rouen | 0–1 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | W Amiens | 1–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W FC Fleury 91 | 2–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Laval | 1–2 | 3–11 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Annecy | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-28 | H | L Dunkerque | 2–6 | 5–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Troyes | 0–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Le Mans | 0–0 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Reims | 0–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | D Nancy | 0–0 | 2–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Valenciennes vs Boulogne?
- Our model gives Valenciennes a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Boulogne 42%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Valenciennes vs Boulogne?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 62% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.