Norway Eliteserien
Valerenga vs HamKam Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.10 – 1.28
Avg goals3.38
Our pickHome
Valerenga 55%
Draw 23%
HamKam 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 55% | 1.80 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 57% | 1.77 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 11 | Over | 57% | 1.75 | 1.80 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.94 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.62 · Draw 4.20 · Away 4.75 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 11 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.1
Valerenga
11.7
Expected corners
4.6
HamKam
Valerenga corner stats · HamKam corner stats
Corner line 11.00
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.7 corners in this match, with Valerenga winning 7.1 of them.
- Across 35 recent matches, Valerenga games produced 12.43 corners on average — 6.66 taken by Valerenga themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 80% of Valerenga matches.
- HamKam matches average 10.17 total corners (4.74 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of HamKam matches.
- Games involving Valerenga produce 3.74 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- HamKam matches average 3.09 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 10.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.25 (51%).
Valerenga — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W SK Brann | 3–2 | 6–10 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | W Aalesund | 6–1 | 8–7 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Tromso | 0–4 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W Fredrikstad | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Kristiansund BK | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | L IK Start | 0–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Sarpsborg | 3–2 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L HamKam | 0–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-04 | H | D KFUM | 2–2 | 11–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Molde | 1–5 | 5–2 |
HamKam — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Sarpsborg | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | 1–10 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Tromso | 1–4 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | D Sandefjord | 2–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | D Fredrikstad | 1–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | D Aalesund | 2–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Lillestrom | 2–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Fredrikstad | 1–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Valerenga | 1–0 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | D Kristiansund BK | 1–1 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Valerenga vs HamKam?
- Our model gives Valerenga a 55% chance, the draw 23% and HamKam 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Valerenga vs HamKam?
- The corner model projects 11.7 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.