Latvia 1. Liga
Valmiera FC vs RFS II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.82 – 1.07
Avg goals3.88
Our pickHome
Valmiera FC 73%
Draw 16%
RFS II 11%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 73% | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under | 51% | 1.97 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.25 | Away +18% Value | 63% | 1.59 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +153% Value | 9% | 11.48 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.18 · Draw 7.00 · Away 8.00 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -2.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.9
Valmiera FC
13.5
Expected corners
5.6
RFS II
Corner line 9.50
Over 86%
Under 14%
Match trends
- Our model projects 13.5 corners in this match, with Valmiera FC winning 7.9 of them.
- Valmiera FC win 6.19 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.25 over their last 16.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 63% of Valmiera FC matches.
- Across 8 recent matches, RFS II games produced 14.13 corners on average — 6.50 taken by RFS II themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 88% of RFS II matches.
- Games involving Valmiera FC produce 3.63 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 69%.
- RFS II matches average 3.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.75 (51%).
Valmiera FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Riga FC II | 3–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Skanstes SK | 3–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | D Ogre United | 2–2 | 4–10 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W Leevon PPK | 4–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W JFK Ventspils | 2–0 | 10–5 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | W FK Smiltene/BJSS | 4–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 4–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | D SK Super Nova II | 0–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Riga Mariners | 1–3 | 7–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | D JDFS Alberts | 1–1 | 4–8 |
RFS II — last 8 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W FK Smiltene/BJSS | 5–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L FK Tukums 2000/TSS II | 0–2 | 7–9 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D SK Super Nova II | 1–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | W Rezeknes FA | 3–0 | 8–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Marupes SC | 4–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Leevon PPK | 1–2 | 5–12 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Skanstes SK | 0–4 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D JFK Ventspils | 0–0 | 9–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Valmiera FC vs RFS II?
- Our model gives Valmiera FC a 73% chance, the draw 16% and RFS II 11%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Valmiera FC vs RFS II?
- The corner model projects 13.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 86% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.