MathPredictions
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Canada Premier League

Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.65 – 1.36
Avg goals3.00
Our pickHome
Vancouver FC 43% Draw 26% Atletico Ottawa 30%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 43% 2.31 1.83
Double chance – Home or away 74% 1.36 1.20
Goals 3 Under +7% Value 54% 1.84 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 61% 1.64 1.57
Asian handicap -0.75 Away +18% Value 63% 1.58 1.88
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.72 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.20 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.83  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 3.50
Goals 2.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.1 Vancouver FC
8.8 Expected corners
3.7 Atletico Ottawa

Vancouver FC corner stats · Atletico Ottawa corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.8 corners in this match, with Vancouver FC winning 5.1 of them.
  • Vancouver FC win 4.23 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.13 over their last 30.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Vancouver FC matches.
  • Across 30 recent matches, Atletico Ottawa games produced 8.50 corners on average — 4.17 taken by Atletico Ottawa themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Atletico Ottawa matches.
  • Games involving Vancouver FC produce 3.03 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
  • Atletico Ottawa matches average 3.07 goals, with both teams scoring in 63% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.9 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.4 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (54%).

Vancouver FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W Cavalry FC 1–0 3–5
2026-07-18 A W Supra du Quebec 5–1 6–5
2026-07-13 A L CF Montreal 1–2 5–4
2026-07-09 H L CF Montreal 1–2 7–2
2026-07-05 H W Inter Toronto 4–0 2–4
2026-07-02 A L Forge FC 2–3 1–7
2026-06-15 H W Pacific FC 2–1 10–1
2026-06-06 H W Atletico Ottawa 2–1 6–3
2026-05-24 H D Supra du Quebec 1–1 9–2
2026-05-18 H L Cavalry FC 0–2 6–3

Atletico Ottawa — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W Pacific FC 3–2 6–8
2026-07-18 H D Inter Toronto 1–1 3–1
2026-07-09 A L Supra du Quebec 1–3 3–4
2026-07-02 A W HFX Wanderers FC 3–1 2–8
2026-06-10 H W Supra du Quebec 5–3 7–3
2026-06-06 A L Vancouver FC 1–2 3–6
2026-05-31 A D Pacific FC 2–2 9–2
2026-05-25 H W Forge FC 2–1 4–2
2026-05-18 H W HFX Wanderers FC 1–0 1–5
2026-05-06 A W Toronto FC 3–1 6–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?
Our model gives Vancouver FC a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Atletico Ottawa 30%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.