Sweden Superettan
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.73 – 1.48
Avg goals3.21
Our pickHome
Varbergs BoIS FC 43%
Draw 25%
Falkenbergs FF 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 43% | 2.35 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 65% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away | 57% | 1.74 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under +15% Value | 58% | 1.71 | 1.98 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.78 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.20 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
8.8
Expected corners
3.8
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC corner stats · Falkenbergs FF corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.8 corners here; Varbergs BoIS FC are forecast for 5.1.
- Across 33 recent matches, Varbergs BoIS FC games produced 9.58 corners on average — 4.79 taken by Varbergs BoIS FC themselves.
- Varbergs BoIS FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Falkenbergs FF matches average 8.84 total corners (3.97 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
- Falkenbergs FF games clear the 9.5 corner line 38% of the time.
- Varbergs BoIS FC matches average 3.06 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
- Games involving Falkenbergs FF produce 3.25 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 51% probability.
Varbergs BoIS FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | L Osters IF | 0–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W IK Oddevold | 4–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Osters IF | 2–1 | 6–10 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | L Landskrona | 2–3 | 7–0 |
| 2026-06-16 | A | L IFK Norrkoping | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-11 | H | W Norrby IF | 2–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Ljungskile SK | 3–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W GIF Sundsvall | 1–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-20 | A | W Helsingborg | 3–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-05-14 | A | W Falkenbergs FF | 3–0 | 2–4 |
Falkenbergs FF — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | W GIF Sundsvall | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Helsingborg | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W IK Brage | 4–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Osters IF | 3–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Orebro SK | 1–1 | 4–11 |
| 2026-06-10 | A | L Sandvikens IF | 2–4 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W IK Oddevold | 2–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W IFK Varnamo | 3–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Nordic United FC | 4–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L Varbergs BoIS FC | 0–3 | 4–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF?
- Our model gives Varbergs BoIS FC a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Falkenbergs FF 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.