MathPredictions

Copa do Brasil

Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.01 – 1.11
Avg goals2.11
Our pickAway
Vasco da Gama 31% Draw 32% Fluminense 36%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 36% 2.75 2.20
Double chance Draw or away 69% 1.45 1.32
Goals 2.25 Under +6% Value 59% 1.70 1.83
Both teams to score No 56% 1.78 1.80
Asian handicap 0.25 Home +6% Value 57% 1.77 1.93
Corners 9 Under 52% 1.91 1.85
Correct score 1-1 15% 6.75 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.25  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 2.20
Goals 2.25 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.93  ·  Away 1.88
Corners 9 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.6 Vasco da Gama
8.8 Expected corners
4.2 Fluminense
Corner line 9.00
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

Vasco da Gama — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Independiente Medellin 1–0 3–4
2026-07-26 H D Mirassol 1–1 9–5
2026-07-23 A D Independiente Medellin 2–2 6–3
2026-07-17 A L Vitoria 0–1 2–3
2026-06-01 H L Atletico Mineiro 0–1 3–4
2026-05-28 H W Barracas Central 3–0 7–1
2026-05-25 H L Bragantino 0–3 6–6
2026-05-21 A L Olimpia Asuncion 1–3 3–13
2026-05-17 A L Internacional 1–4 4–3
2026-05-14 H D Paysandu 2–2 6–4

Fluminense — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H D Bahia 0–0 8–1
2026-07-27 A D Gremio 1–1 2–9
2026-07-18 H D Bragantino 1–1 11–4
2026-07-13 H W Bahia 2–0 1–2
2026-07-09 H W Nova Iguacu 6–1 8–3
2026-06-01 A D Cruzeiro 1–1 4–5
2026-05-28 H W Deportivo La Guaira 3–1 2–1
2026-05-24 A L Mirassol 0–1 5–4
2026-05-20 H W Bolivar 2–1 5–1
2026-05-17 H W Sao Paulo 2–1 3–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
Our model gives Vasco da Gama a 31% chance, the draw 32% and Fluminense 36%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.