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Mexico Liga de Expansion

Venados FC vs Tapatio Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-110%2-110%2-08%
Expected goals1.92 – 1.27
Avg goals3.19
Our pickHome
Venados FC 52% Draw 23% Tapatio 25%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 52% 1.92 1.90
Double chance – Home or away 77% 1.30 1.26
Goals 2.75 Over +9% Value 57% 1.75 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 62% 1.62 –
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 52% 1.92 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 65% 1.55 1.98
Correct score – 1-1 10% 9.58 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.90  ·  Draw 3.75  ·  Away 3.70
Goals 2.75 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 10.5 Over 1.98  ·  Under 1.83

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

7.0 Venados FC
10.8 Expected corners
3.8 Tapatio

Venados FC corner stats · Tapatio corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 65% Under 35%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.8 corners in this match, with Venados FC winning 7 of them.
  • Across 29 recent matches, Venados FC games produced 10.24 corners on average — 5.79 taken by Venados FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Venados FC matches.
  • Tapatio matches average 10.03 total corners (4.58 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Tapatio matches.
  • Games involving Venados FC produce 3.76 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • Tapatio matches average 2.97 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.6 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (57%).

Venados FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A D Cruz Azul Hidalgo 1–1 6–4
2026-07-26 H W Oaxaca 3–0 12–1
2026-04-19 A D Tlaxcala FC 2–2 4–8
2026-04-12 H W Universidad Guadalajara 2–1 8–3
2026-04-06 A D Jaiba Brava 1–1 3–7
2026-03-28 H W Atlante 4–1 1–7
2026-03-21 A L Tepatitlan de Morelos 0–2 5–3
2026-03-07 H L Correcaminos 0–1 5–3
2026-02-28 A L Mineros de Zacatecas 0–2 6–8
2026-02-15 A L Atletico Morelia 1–2 5–4

Tapatio — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H W Jaiba Brava 1–0 0–8
2026-07-27 H D Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0–0 5–10
2026-04-27 A L Cancun FC 0–1 11–3
2026-04-24 H D Cancun FC 1–1 7–2
2026-04-18 A L Dorados 1–3 9–3
2026-04-12 H L Irapuato 1–2 2–2
2026-04-08 H W Tlaxcala FC 3–0 1–4
2026-03-30 A L Mineros de Zacatecas 1–2 5–7
2026-03-23 H W Atletico Morelia 2–1 1–7
2026-03-14 A L Oaxaca 3–4 5–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Venados FC vs Tapatio?
Our model gives Venados FC a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Tapatio 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Venados FC vs Tapatio?
The corner model projects 10.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 65% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.