USA MLS Next Pro League
Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 6–1 (HT 3–0)
Corners5–0
Yellow cards0–2
Shots on target8–5
Shots off target7–8
Attacks70–104
Dangerous attacks50–71
Possession45%–55%
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.80 – 1.39
Avg goals3.19
Our pickHome
Ventura County FC 46%
Draw 25%
North Texas SC 29%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 46% | 2.16 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Under | 56% | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Home +13% Value | 62% | 1.62 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 55% | 1.83 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 8.83 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.05 · Draw 3.70 · Away 2.88 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.2
Ventura County FC
9.9
Expected corners
3.7
North Texas SC
Ventura County FC corner stats · North Texas SC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.9 corners here; Ventura County FC are forecast for 6.2.
- Ventura County FC win 5.31 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.84 over their last 32.
- Ventura County FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 59% of the time.
- Across 30 recent matches, North Texas SC games produced 9.37 corners on average — 3.43 taken by North Texas SC themselves.
- North Texas SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Ventura County FC matches average 3.47 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
- Games involving North Texas SC produce 3.23 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 60%.
- The last 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 15.3 across their last 3 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 56% probability.
Ventura County FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | W North Texas SC | 6–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W The Town | 3–0 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Los Angeles FC II | 2–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | L Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2–3 | 13–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Real Monarchs SLC | 3–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Colorado Rapids II | 1–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Houston Dynamo II | 3–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | H | W Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Tacoma Defiance | 0–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Los Angeles FC II | 2–3 | 6–5 |
North Texas SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L Ventura County FC | 1–6 | 0–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Los Angeles FC II | 2–2 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W The Town | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Colorado Rapids II | 0–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W St. Louis City SC II | 3–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-06-11 | A | D Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L St. Louis City SC II | 0–2 | 1–10 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D The Town | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Sporting Kansas City II | 5–1 | 1–12 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Minnesota United FC II | 2–0 | 1–8 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC?
- Our model gives Ventura County FC a 46% chance, the draw 25% and North Texas SC 29%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC?
- The corner model projects 9.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.