Poland III Liga
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.58 – 1.48
Avg goals3.06
Our pickHome
Victoria Wrzesnia 39%
Draw 26%
Lech Poznan II 35%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 39% | 2.55 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.31 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.25 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.55 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Victoria Wrzesnia
10.0
Expected corners
5.3
Lech Poznan II
Victoria Wrzesnia corner stats · Lech Poznan II corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 56%
Under 44%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10 corners in this match, with Victoria Wrzesnia winning 4.7 of them.
- Across 14 recent matches, Victoria Wrzesnia games produced 9.07 corners on average — 4.07 taken by Victoria Wrzesnia themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Victoria Wrzesnia matches.
- Lech Poznan II matches average 10.07 total corners (5.43 won per game) across their last 30 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Lech Poznan II matches.
- Games involving Victoria Wrzesnia produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
- Lech Poznan II matches average 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (59%).
Victoria Wrzesnia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Lipno Steszew | 1–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Kluczevia Stargard | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Unia Swarzedz | 1–2 | 6–11 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L KTS-K Luzino | 0–1 | 0–7 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Elana Torun | 3–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | W Pogon Szczecin II | 2–1 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Blekitni Stargard | 3–2 | 6–4 |
| 2025-12-06 | H | D Lech Poznan II | 0–0 | 4–6 |
| 2025-11-11 | A | L KTS-K Luzino | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2025-11-08 | A | L Lipno Steszew | 0–1 | 5–1 |
Lech Poznan II — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 2–4 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Tluchowia Tluchowo | 1–3 | 11–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Cartusia Kartuzy | 0–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | W Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 6–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Pogon Szczecin II | 2–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Flota Swinoujscie | 3–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-10 | A | W Wda Swiecie | 3–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Blekitni Stargard | 1–1 | 7–5 |
| 2026-03-14 | H | W Unia Swarzedz | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-07 | A | L Kluczevia Stargard | 0–1 | 11–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II?
- Our model gives Victoria Wrzesnia a 39% chance, the draw 26% and Lech Poznan II 35%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Victoria Wrzesnia vs Lech Poznan II?
- The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.