Europe Friendlies
Vizela vs Celta Fortuna Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.51 – 1.27
Avg goals2.78
Our pickHome
Vizela 42%
Draw 28%
Celta Fortuna 31%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 42% | 2.40 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 52% | 1.94 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.65 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.15 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.88 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 36 recent matches, Vizela games produced 9.67 corners on average — 5.19 taken by Vizela themselves.
- Vizela games clear the 9.5 corner line 36% of the time.
- Celta Fortuna matches average 8.25 total corners (4.15 won per game) across their last 48 with corner data.
- Celta Fortuna games clear the 9.5 corner line 25% of the time.
- Vizela matches average 2.44 goals, with both teams scoring in 44% of them.
- Games involving Celta Fortuna produce 2.92 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Vizela — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Torreense | 0–4 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W UD Leiria | 1–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Academico Viseu | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Sporting B | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L SC Farense | 0–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L Feirense | 0–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | L Benfica B | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Penafiel | 1–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W Lusitania Lourosa | 4–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-08 | A | W Felgueiras 1932 | 1–0 | 7–2 |
Celta Fortuna — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Lugo | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Ponferradina | 4–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | D Ponferradina | 0–0 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | D CE Europa | 2–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | D CE Europa | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Barakaldo | 1–1 | 2–13 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Lugo | 0–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Ourense CF | 4–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | L Osasuna B | 0–1 | 9–1 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Pontevedra | 1–1 | 4–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Vizela vs Celta Fortuna?
- Our model gives Vizela a 42% chance, the draw 28% and Celta Fortuna 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.