Poland III Liga
Warta Sieradz vs Mlawianka Mlawa Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.86 – 1.12
Avg goals2.98
Our pickHome
Warta Sieradz 54%
Draw 25%
Mlawianka Mlawa 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 54% | 1.87 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 57% | 1.75 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 12% | 8.58 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.60 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.20 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.9
Warta Sieradz
11.3
Expected corners
5.4
Mlawianka Mlawa
Warta Sieradz corner stats · Mlawianka Mlawa corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 69%
Under 31%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.3 corners here; Warta Sieradz are forecast for 5.9.
- Across 32 recent matches, Warta Sieradz games produced 10.22 corners on average — 5.56 taken by Warta Sieradz themselves.
- Warta Sieradz games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Mlawianka Mlawa matches average 11.48 total corners (6.28 won per game) across their last 25 with corner data.
- Mlawianka Mlawa games clear the 9.5 corner line 68% of the time.
- Warta Sieradz matches average 3.03 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
- Games involving Mlawianka Mlawa produce 3.40 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 72%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 57% probability.
Warta Sieradz — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | H | W LKS Lodz II | 1–0 | 6–8 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | W Bron Radom | 1–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | W Wigry Suwalki | 2–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D GKS Wikielec | 1–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | D Wisla Plock II | 1–1 | 4–11 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | D Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 3–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D GKS Belchatow | 3–3 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L CK Troszyn | 1–2 | 12–7 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | D Legia Warsaw II | 1–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki | 3–1 | 7–2 |
Mlawianka Mlawa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Hutnik Warsaw | 4–2 | 7–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 3–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Widzew Lodz II | 2–0 | 8–7 |
| 2026-05-13 | H | L Jagiellonia Bialystok II | 0–1 | 11–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Wigry Suwalki | 0–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Bron Radom | 3–2 | 10–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Olimpia Elblag | 2–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L GKS Wikielec | 1–2 | 14–6 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W GKS Belchatow | 1–0 | 6–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W KS Wasilkow | 4–2 | 9–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Warta Sieradz vs Mlawianka Mlawa?
- Our model gives Warta Sieradz a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Mlawianka Mlawa 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Warta Sieradz vs Mlawianka Mlawa?
- The corner model projects 11.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 69% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.